U.S. Midterm Election 2022: The Situation in the U.S. Reactions in Japan

U.S. Midterm Election 2022: The Situation in the U.S. Reactions in Japan

Real Clear Politics
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/

Media Bias Chart
https://www.allsides.com/sites/default/files/AllSidesMediaBiasChart-Version3.jpg

In a poll conducted jointly by The New York Times and Siena College (released July 11).
When asked, If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?” 44% of respondents said President Biden.
On the other hand, 41% of respondents said Trump, with President Biden three percentage points ahead of Trump.

Biden…44%.
Trump…41%.

Trump’s Decision to Run ‘Decided’ Over 2024 Presidential Election.

The Washington Post reported on April 14 that Trump is considering announcing a September run.
His aides have urged him to make his announcement after the November midterm elections on the grounds that he would be held accountable for the results if he announces before the November elections.
But recently, a growing number of officials have said they are following Trump’s gut feeling” that it would improve turnout among Republican voters and solidify his own party’s base.”

In the end, 2024 will be Harris and Trump.
DeSantis, Pompeo gone?

Bannon’s conviction in the case of the attack on the U.S. Capitol.
This included the seventh son of Moon Jae-in, Moon Heng-Shin II,” who was also involved.

Trump’s spiritual advisor, the Rev. Paula White, also interacted with the Unification Church.

Inadvertently, the Unification Church became a common political issue in Japan and the United States.

It remains to be seen if these things will have an impact on the midterm elections.”

“Major upcoming political schedule

Sept. 3-4 Lady Gaga visits Japan
Sept. 5: British Conservative Party leadership election (former Indian-origin Finance Minister Sunak x Foreign Minister Truss)
Sept. 25: Italian general election
Sept. 27 Former Prime Minister Abe’s state funeral
October: Chinese Communist Party Congress
Oct. 2 Brazilian presidential election (approval rating: 47% for leftist former Lula x 28% for rightist current President Bolsonaro)
Nov. 8 U.S. midterm election poll (July 1, Emerson College, Boston, USA)
https://www.jetro.go.jp/biznews/2022/07/410517f9e53db88a.html

Who to vote for in the Republican primaries.
▪ Former President Trump (23.0%)
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis (8.2%)
Former Vice President Mike Pence (3.9%)
Former U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley (1.3%)

In the presidential election, the questions that assumed a direct match-up between President Biden and Trump were.
Trump (43.9%) (+4.6 points)
Biden (39.3%)

After watching the hearing on the attack on the U.S. Capitol, your feelings of support for Trump
Weakened” (34.9%)
Increased (31.5%)

If the 2024 presidential election were held today, who would you vote for?
Trump (40%) (+1 point)
Biden (39%)

If Trump were not running as the Republican nominee and the primaries were held today, who would you vote for.
DeSantis (39%)
Pence (18%)
Donald Trump Jr. (Trump’s oldest son, 7%)
Ted Cruz (U.S. Senator from Texas, 6%)

If Biden were not running as the Democratic nominee and the primaries were held today, who would you vote for?
Vice President Kamala Harris (27%)
Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg (12%)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, U.S. Representative from New York (7%)
Stacey Abrams, Democratic candidate for governor of Georgia (6%)
Cory Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey (6%)
Elizabeth Warren, U.S. Senator from Massachusetts (6%)

Regarding one of the key issues in the midterm elections, gun control, the Gun Control Act of 2022 (see June 27, 2022 article), which was passed on June 25, 2022
Reasonable at this point in time” (43%)
∙ “Inadequate to prevent gun violence” (32%) (nearly one-third are not satisfied with the content)
“

The Republican primary for governor of Arizona, still undecided?
But overall, there is also a majority who believe Trump should be criminally prosecuted

It’s the Democratic side that sees the Unification Church’s presence in the U.S. as a problem.

“If this goes on, Cheney in Wyoming will lose.
If he loses the prelims by sore loser law, he will not be in the main election.
Alaska’s Murkowski, even though he came in second in the nonpartisan primaries.
In the runoff election, he will likely receive votes from Democrats on the preferential ballot.
I think he’s going to win in the end because it looks like he’s going to turn out real well.”
It’s after this on the local 16th, but Cheney’s case in the Wyoming primaries is also a great one.
“Cheney’s defeat speech… more of a declaration of the continuing struggle against Trump.
It was prestigious, though.”
“The whole thing about Trump’s alleged taking of classified material.
The case of Trump’s alleged taking of classified material is similar to the case of Hillary’s alleged ‘use of private emails’ that Trump pursued.”
“[Washington, D.C.] The electronic edition of the Washington Post reported on Tuesday that former President Trump’s side, which lost the 2020 presidential election in three states, including the hotly contested southern state of Georgia, had copied sensitive data from voting systems.

State judges, election commissioners, and other officials were allowed to access the data, which is believed to be part of the campaign’s efforts to unearth materials to overturn the election results.

Experts expressed concern that the data was accessed for political motives with the help of officials sympathetic to Trump, and that the records were not revealed for a long time. They noted that “there could have been other similar cases, and that would be extremely dangerous.”

Lawyers working with Trump are believed to have orchestrated the acquisition of the data. They used a data analysis firm in Georgia to gain access to voting systems in that state, as well as in western Nevada and midwestern Michigan.

The campaign’s outside counsel and others got the court to grant access to the system in some counties in Nevada, and the work is underway. In Michigan, a judge also granted permission. In Georgia, the election commissioner also granted permission, so the system’s storage device was copied in its entirety, and ballots were scanned.”
That’s a terrible accusation, even though it’s not illegal with permission.
“We have governors in Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin.
Protect the Senate, all incumbents, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, and
Florida and Ohio as long shots with Norcal and
Florida and Ohio.
In the House, Texas is acceptable, but Florida’s redistricting is too tight.
I’d give Illinois the benefit of the doubt, and Norcaro would be an improvement.
But overall, it’s a better redistricting.
It still favors Republicans.”
A Republican female presidential candidate might have a shot.
“Raid Trump residence in Mar-a-Lago without showing a search warrant.
They even seized passports and privileged materials that were not on the warrant.
Seized materials included Hillary’s emails.
Claims Trump’s declassification is invalid
I’m not sure why the FBI would be searching for classified documents 18 months after the fact and so close to the election.

The FBI is reckless.
Clearly a national investigation by the Democrats.”
“Seizing something that isn’t on a search warrant is like theft.
It could also violate the Fourth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution.

Even Republican Trump supporters are angry.”

If this goes on, Cheney in Wyoming will lose.
If he loses the prelims by sore loser law, he will not be in the main election.
Alaska’s Murkowski, even though he came in second in the nonpartisan primaries.

In the runoff election, he will likely receive votes from Democrats on the preferential ballot.
I think he’s going to win in the end because it looks like he’s going to turn out real well.”

“Cheney’s defeat speech… more of a declaration of the continuing struggle against Trump.

“The whole thing about Trump’s alleged taking of classified material.
The case of Trump’s alleged taking of classified material is similar to the case of Hillary’s alleged ‘use of private emails’ that Trump pursued.”

“”[Washington, D.C.] The electronic edition of the Washington Post reported on Tuesday that former President Trump’s side, which lost the 2020 presidential election in three states, including the hotly contested southern state of Georgia, had copied sensitive data from voting systems.

State judges, election commissioners, and other officials were allowed to access the data, which is believed to be part of the campaign’s efforts to unearth materials to overturn the election results.

Experts expressed concern that the data was accessed for political motives with the help of officials sympathetic to Trump, and that the records were not revealed for a long time. They noted that “”there could have been other similar cases, and that would be extremely dangerous.””

Lawyers working with Trump are believed to have orchestrated the acquisition of the data. They used a data analysis firm in Georgia to gain access to voting systems in that state, as well as in western Nevada and midwestern Michigan.

The campaign’s outside counsel and others got the court to grant access to the system in some counties in Nevada, and the work is underway. In Michigan, a judge also granted permission. In Georgia, the election commissioner also granted permission, so the system’s storage device was copied in its entirety, and ballots were scanned.”

That’s a terrible accusation, even though it’s not illegal with permission.

In the House, Texas is acceptable, but Florida’s redistricting is too tight.

I’d give Illinois the benefit of the doubt, and Norcaro would be an improvement.

But overall, it’s a better redistricting.

It still favors Republicans.

A Republican female presidential candidate might have a shot.

Raid Trump residence in Mar-a-Lago without showing a search warrant.
They even seized passports and privileged materials that were not on the warrant.
Seized materials included Hillary’s emails.
Claims Trump’s declassification is invalid

I’m not sure why the FBI would be searching for classified documents 18 months after the fact and so close to the election.

The FBI is reckless.

Clearly a national investigation by the Democrats.

Seizing something that isn’t on a search warrant is like theft.

It could also violate the Fourth Amendment of the U.S. Constitution.

Even Republican Trump supporters are angry.

Even if you try for a few more months, you won’t make it.

You’re not going to win the presidential election as an independent.

I’m not convinced that Clinton and Obama both declassified classified documents and took them out of the country, but somehow it’s illegal for Trump to do so.

It’s a long shot to prosecute him in the first place.

The FBI may be in trouble if the court allows the release of the unclassified portions of the affidavit that Trump is insisting on.
We’ll find out next week.

If the Trumpers lose, I wonder if they’ll say it’s rigged again.

If the middle class and independents are anti-Trump, I wonder if the Democrats will win.

Disantis is worse than Trump.

Biden is supposed to restore the economy.

Biden should resign and fight incumbent President Harris.

The Republican Party has become more than an anti-democratic party on issues before abortion and gun control.

Democrats have no choice but to fight now that the Republicans have become the anti-democratic party.

Wyoming, Alabama, Tennessee, Arkansas.
South Dakota, Oklahoma, the people of the states themselves have become

The people of these states have become anti-democratic.

The only state that could be overturned because of fraud is Wisconsin.

Arizona and Georgia, with Republican governors, cannot be rigged.

Republican governors in Arizona and Georgia can’t be rigged.
In fact, Arizona has been recounted many times with no irregularities.

And yet, two-thirds of Republicans who don’t accept the election results are anti-Democrats.

Two-thirds of Republicans are anti-democratic and hate to see the vested interests of whites
They just hate to see them disappear.

Trump is just saying, ‘Biden is wrong, the Democrats are wrong.

To this day, he has been unable to provide any evidence or proof of a rigged election.

I supported Trump for president in ’16 and
I appreciate his record, but Trump has not been able to show a vision beyond that.

In the summer/fall of ’20, at the Democratic Convention – the first presidential candidate debate.
Biden’s victory was obvious.

Cheney also has a 28-year presidential run.

The Democrats are also preparing for a woman president after a president of color.

Republicans will eventually have to do the same.

The Biden administration may not be able to beat inflation.

Maybe the Democratic Party of America will suffer a historic defeat.

Why has the Boomer generation entered politics so late?

While the Greatest Generation and the Silent Generation are entering politics at a relatively young age.

I know land prices have been rising in the US for a long time.
A hereditary landowner or property owner like Mr. Trump must have a lot of power.

I’m sure there are plenty of them in Japan, too…

It’s hard to get to the point where he’s a candidate of 24 years because of all the “”issues before that.

…Biden…how the Russia-Ukraine war came to be.
…Trump…his qualifications as a candidate, including the Capitol attack and the raid on his house.

Biden’s approval ratings are slumping, but I don’t think he’s out of power yet.
I think he’s finally starting to get his engine going.

The way I see it, independents and middle class voters don’t want a raid on the U.S. Congress or gun issues or abortion issues, so I think it will be a tailwind for the Democrats.

I think they’ll want to cut their losses in the House (ideally, a tie or one or two seat lead).

If they do that, the Republicans will lose and Trump’s disqualification will accelerate quickly.

I mean, they should have done it after the midterms and Trump’s ouster.

The FBI got ahead of itself.
The FBI investigated Hillary’s email problems just before voting day, and some say it affected the vote, so this time, they raided it a little earlier.

The 184 classified documents recovered from the Trump residence amounted to 15 boxes of documents, and the sloppiness with which they were stored in the boxes, along with newspapers and magazines, is also a concern.
Twenty-five of the documents were related to the interception of communications in foreign countries and contained information that could seriously undermine national security if leaked.

Regarding Trump’s filing of a court complaint against the FBI’s investigation as unfair, the American media reported that it was a strategy to delay the investigation.

If he loses, this happen abortion & gun control and the FBI will do something about it.
Especially since abortion is a woman’s important issue.

Well, if they lose the midterm elections, they’ll probably go for indictments in one fell swoop.

I think the tone has changed in the last week or so, even from domestic politicians.

The only positive thing about the Republican Party right now is that the Trump followers are awake, and the rest is negative.

The abortion issue & gun issue set is still a big one, and there’s still the stain of the attack on Congress.

The Senate is back in favor of the Democrats, and the Republicans had the upper hand, but there’s a chance that the House might flip at the last minute.

Trump is a great communicator, but he and his followers are extremists.
That’s where it’s double-edged.

Liz Cheney is all about abortion, gun control, decarbonization.
and a typical Republican.

just trying to protect democracy.

If he loses the primaries, the Republicans are the anti-democratic party.

The Republican Party has fallen to the same level as the Chinese Communist Party.

Democrats can’t afford to lose elections.

The Florida gerrymander is just too much.
Democrats are minus 3. Republicans are plus 4.
The Democrats are almost certain to win the House.
The Democrats will win in terms of turnout and lose the House by a small margin.
The Senate could go up to 55, including Florida.
Anyway, it’s confirmed that the Democrats are not going to lose badly.
The Democrats will win the Senate handily and lose the House (and the Republicans will win the House handily, I think).
If it’s not so bad, the Republicans could lose the House in a landslide.

The only House reversal I can see is Illinois being allowed to gerrymander.

New York is fair and Florida is too bad.

It’s a gerrymander, so it’s tough.

Texas is a gerrymandered incumbent Republican seat.
But Ohio’s still a gerrymander.

Wisconsin is still Gerrymandering, and Governor Evers didn’t make redistricting fair.

I wonder why Governor Evers didn’t make redistricting fairer in Wisconsin.
What’s the point of having a Democrat governor who won’t fight?
Or is Wisconsin the only state that wants to back the presidential election?

The momentum is definitely with the Democrats, but the Republicans are biting hard.

The world hates Democrats.

It’s a horrible country, the people who attacked become senators.

If an anti-democrat like Putin wins, America will fall to the ground.

Alaska has a new electoral system this time around, which eliminates party primaries and instead selects a few people to go on to the runoff from among all the candidates, including independent voters.
In the runoff, there were three candidates, one Democrat and one Republican, Sarah Palin and one other.
The new system also introduced a ranking vote in the runoff, in which the first- and second-place candidates were chosen, and if the first-place candidate came in third, his or her vote would go to the second-place candidate.
Normally, if there are two Republican candidates on the ballot, the voters would write in the other Republican candidate in second place, so even if there is a split between the Republicans, the Republicans will not lose.
However, during the campaign, Sarah Palin attacked the other Republican candidate so much that those who supported the other Republican candidate wrote the name of the Democratic candidate in second place.
As a result, the Democratic candidate won.

How will the Palin defeat affect her?

The Palin case is symbolic.

While the Trump-supporting candidate won more than 90% of the vote.

Palin, who is considered the female version of Trump, lost the race.

Alaska was the last presidential race in 20 years that Trump won by 10 points.

conservative kingdom that Trump won by 10 points.

The by-election follows the death of her predecessor, whose term ends next January.

Beltran and Palin will once again contest the midterm elections this November.

The supplemental election will be the second consecutive loss, including the Palin loss.

I can see quite a difference between Trump followers and core Republican supporters.

This makes the Trump gang look pretty defeated.

There was also an anti-Trump movement in the conservative split in Alaska.
Just a month ago, the Pope visited Western Canada.
apologizing for past mistreatment of indigenous peoples.
At that time, Canadian Prime Minister Trudeau even met him at the airport.

Alaska lost because 60% of the voters were Republicans, but it’s a weird system, like the LDP presidential election in Japan, when a one-to-one public chart is easy to understand.

This Alaska loss is going to upset the Trump faithful.
Democrats will be more confident, and independents will be less likely to get into the guys who did Congress.
And Republican moderates will come in hating Trump.

The importance of the Alaska by-election is also telling.
Palin debated Biden for vice president in 2008.
At that time, it was her return to politics after resigning as governor.

According to an Aug. 25 Gallup survey.
Biden’s approval rating rose from a low of 39% in July to 44%, the highest this year.　　
This number is apparently higher than the pre-midterm election August approval ratings of the following five presidents in the past 40 years.　　

Trump (2018)
Obama (2014)
Bush jr.
Clinton (1994)
∙ Reagan (1982)

The following surveys show a 45% approval rating.

Rasmussen Reports (8/30-9/1)
CBS News (8/24-8/26)
Wall Street Journal (8/17-8/25).
“”While certainly more complicated than a single-ticket system, preferential voting, also known as instant runoff voting, is more accurate in terms of reflecting the will of the people.
more accurate in terms of reflecting the will of the people. Thirty percent of Begich supporters
chose the Democratic candidate over Palin as their second choice.

If this method is adopted in states other than Maine and Alaska, it will be a great help to both parties in their primaries.

If this method is adopted in states other than Maine and Alaska, the tendency for candidates from the left and right extremes in both parties’ primaries to advance to the runoff election will be reversed.

It will make it easier for centrist candidates supported by the silent majority to be elected.

Alaska would have given the Democrats a boost from independents.
Well, in the US, the Democrats and Republicans have 27% support and 45% independents.
These independents are middle-of-the-road, with a similar mindset to the moderates in the Democratic and Republican parties, and they are far from the radical far right and far left.

In the United States, Democrats and Republicans have 27% support and 45% independents.

Maybe this is what a society with constant regime change looks like.

In Japan, if you did a proper survey, there would be an overwhelming majority of independents, right?

The problem is that there is too much of a gap between the approval ratings of the ruling party and the opposition party.

This means that more and more people will abstain from voting for the opposition…

And among those independents, there’s a whole range, from completely independent, to Democrat-leaning, to Republican-leaning, to Republican-leaning.

What makes Biden unique is that he is more Catholic than liberal.
He is only the second Catholic president since Kennedy in the WASP-centered United States.
But he has been in office for a combined total of five years, only 2% of the 233-year history of the United States since the first Washington.
However, it must be noted that the total period is only 5 years, which is only 2% of the 233-year history of the United States since the first Washington.
Especially since Kennedy was assassinated in less than three years.
What is expected of Biden is first to successfully complete his first term.
If possible, he will have to do a second term to get the full measure of what he has.

Never in my wildest dreams would I ever dream that the day would come when I would be rooting for someone with a name like Cheney.

I think Cheney is more of a conservative than a moderate.

A Democrat who tries to align himself with someone like that …
…to further diminish her influence within the Republican Party by flirting with the shadow of the Democrats…
(and let her buy into the Trumpite hate)

Is this a strategy to push the Republican Party ahead?

I have a soft spot for Cheney.

I think it’s the identity of the country of Japan to be on one side of the United States, and the best administration we’ve ever had was the Bush son’s administration.
I’d welcome anyone who carries on the lineage of the Bush son’s administration.

And Mark Sanford, Justin Amash, and Mo Brooks.
belonged to the Freedom Caucus, and that’s not enough proof of a Trumpist.
A caucus that supported Cruz and Paul over Trump in the 2016 presidential primary in the first place.

Newsom may be far left in the eyes of the Trumpists, but he’s a mainstream non-leftist within the Democratic Party.
On environmental policy, there’s not much difference between leftist and mainstream Democrats anymore (the only difference is Manchin).

Harris’ position is that he and Biden will run again in ’24.

Biden’s declaration of his candidacy is said to be after the midterm elections in November.

On average, the governing party has lost three Senate seats and 25 House seats in midterm elections since 1950.
Even the highly popular President Obama lost 6 seats in the Senate and 63 in the House in midterm elections during his first term in office.

If Biden is not reelected in 2024, is the Democrat Party a ‘Newsom-Whitmer’ ticket?
VP is also antsy for Klobuchar, who was forced to abandon it in 2020 due to BLM’s rise to power.
It would be covered by his own Senate race (Minnesota allows duplicate candidacies on the same day, right?
2008 Democrat Biden could run for Senate in Delaware.
2016 Republican Pence could not with the governor’s race in Indiana).

Mrs. Jill Biden says she hasn’t ‘heard’ about Biden running yet, so
I guess we’ll have to wait and see, ostensibly.

Biden’s average approval rating was 43% as of September 15.
This is the same level as just before Trump’s 18 midterm elections, at which time the Republicans lost over 40 seats in the House of Representatives.

But this 43% is not a falling number, it’s a rising number.
(It’s been much lower).
I can’t make a direct comparison to four years ago.
But the results are as good as none of his own results that he wants to appeal to.
It’s also true that the only way to appeal to voters is by beating Trump.
If the Republicans can separate Trump from the Democrats, the Democrats could lose big.
Well, I don’t think the Republicans can do that right now.

The Republican Party and its supporters are a sinking muddy boat because a large portion of the Republican base is Trump sympathizers.
I’m surprised that about 30% of the American people are in that muddy boat.

If you can see the current disaster that is the Democratic Party in America as the foundation for a bright future, then I guess you can have that opinion.

I look forward to the midterm elections.

When the Trumpites and moderates were battling in the Republican primaries, the Democrats were running ads supporting the Trumpites.
Will this be a good thing or a bad thing?

I was asked by the special master I appointed to present evidence that I had declassified it.
He assured him, “”There are no legal restrictions on the President declassifying a document, if he says he declassified it, it means it’s been declassified.

More lawyers are going to flee the country.

It’s no longer defensible in a country under the rule of law to make statements like this.

Total News is happy to pick up other stories besides the Trump story, such as the one that “”forces opposing sanctions against Russia”” in Western European countries are in high spirits.

The Trump story is probably a part of that.

Trump’s success means that Russia and the U.S.A will become closer,
and the world will become more favorable to Russia as a result.
So maybe he’s not too familiar with the domestic American story.

The Republican primaries are being called a MAGA surge, with an unusually large number of people voting.

Democrats are wary that the momentum will carry over to the main election in the fall, when Republican turnout will be higher.

Now people are saying that Trump was psychic.